[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"市场循环总在重复，过程大概如下："}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"第一阶段：价格破4000美元（两年新高）"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"市场氛围：全网媒体刷屏“ETH重回巅峰”。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"韭菜心理：认为涨太多必回调，自认比市场聪明，果断开空。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"结果：价格直冲，空单爆仓，留下首道伤口。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"第二阶段：破5000美元（历史新高）"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"市场氛围：新闻密集，推特大V喊“牛市启动，1万可期”。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"韭菜心理：坚信历史新高即顶，加仓做空。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"结果：行情不回头，爆仓警告持续，账户再遭收割。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"第三阶段：破6000美元（再创新高）"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"市场氛围：散户群里炫耀收益，身边人询问购买方式。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"韭菜心理：怕高位被套，前次爆仓阴影下犹豫，空仓观望。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"结果：眼睁睁看价格续涨，心理渐扭曲。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"第四阶段：破8000美元（加速阶段）"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"市场氛围：预测密集，分析师给出“ETH 5万美金”目标。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"韭菜心理：忍不住追多，进场即遇回调，恐慌止损后反手做空。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"结果：回调结束价格上行，空单再爆。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"第五阶段：破1万美元"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"市场氛围：媒体狂欢，FOMO情绪极致。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"韭菜心理：爆仓过多心态崩，只剩“赌”，多空梭哈反向。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"结果：多空反杀，账户余额剩个位数。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"第六阶段：惯性FOMO区"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"市场氛围：价格日创新高，无人关注估值逻辑，只剩“明天更高”口号。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"韭菜心理：被洗脑信“这次不同”，用信用卡、借贷、抵押房加仓。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"结果：牛市末期冲至1.5万、2万美元等极端高位，账户看似暴涨。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"第七阶段：牛市结束，断崖式下跌"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"市场氛围：暴跌突袭，新闻标题从“领跑革命”变“暴跌30%”。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"韭菜心理：首日觉正常回调，次日补仓，第三日越跌越买，第四日保证金不足爆仓。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"结果：财富回解放前，甚至少于牛市前。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"心理闭环："}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"牛市开始：不信→做空→爆仓"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"中期：犹豫→错过→FOMO"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"高位：梭哈做多→回调止损→反手做空→再爆"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"尾声：满仓做多→崩盘→爆仓清零"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"最终感悟：“以后再也不碰”，直到下次重来。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"$ETH "},{"type":"topic","character":"加密货币","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"交易策略","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"交易策略","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"coin","currencyId":8,"currency":"eth","symbolId":7,"symbol":"eth_usdt","logo":"https://web.jucoin.online/cdn/coin/logo/eth.png","fullName":"Ethereum","character":"ETH/USDT","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"coin","currencyId":7,"currency":"btc","symbolId":6,"symbol":"btc_usdt","logo":"https://web.jucoin.online/cdn/coin/logo/btc.png","fullName":"Bitcoin","character":"BTC/USDT","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"coin","currencyId":128,"currency":"ju","symbolId":73,"symbol":"ju_usdt","logo":"https://storage.jucoin.online/1/currency/1d65fee7-d667-460b-909c-10ad131f4955-1737703580114.png","fullName":"JU","character":"JU/USDT","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "}]}]